IADA dealers predict uptick over the next six months
Market strong for certain makes and pedigrees
International Aircraft Dealers Association (IADA) members reported an uptick in private aircraft resale expectations for the next six months, as noted in the organization’s second quarter 2023 market report.
There was an upswing in projections for the next six months compared to the preceding quarter and second quarter of 2022.
“IADA members, who lead the business aircraft resale marketplace, indicated a continuing normalization of the balance between buyers and sellers, with a nearly even split between which group is driving the market,” said IADA Executive Director Wayne Starling. “Their view of the market is cautiously optimistic, particularly given the vagaries of the global economy,” he added.
Perspectives and Data
The perspectives and projections from IADA members for the IADA Market Report are supported by the monthly transaction activity reports submitted by IADA-accredited dealers through AircraftExchange, the online exclusive market listing portal. Results from the second quarter 2023 perception survey point toward a continuation of a modest slowdown in overall deals, as expected under such conditions, and somewhat softer pricing.
Overall deal flow in the second quarter of 2023 continued to moderate but at a relatively high level. Please note that in addition to sales data from AircraftExchange listings, the IADA market report includes data from all IADA-accredited dealer activities and transactions, reported in total.
In the first half of 2023, IADA dealers closed 542 deals, compared to 598 in the first half of 2022, a truly exceptional period in the resale industry. Looking forward, aircraft resale prices for the next six months are projected to decrease slightly, across turboprops, light jets, midsize jets and large jets.
IADA members expect slight increases in aircraft supply for sale, also across all categories, with a stable willingness among dealers to inventory aircraft for sale. Demand is expected to be stable.
Shifting to more balanced market
Based on IADA’s second quarter 2023 member survey, and sales data provided by the network, respondents expect an ongoing shift toward a more balanced market throughout 2023. By recent historical measures, new aircraft manufacturer backlogs remain strong, but talent shortages and supply chain issues are constraining the ramp-up of production rates.
Business aviation, like other leading industries, continues to face challenges with geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions and the possibility of a U.S. economic recession. Still, IADA brokers and dealers continue to see customer interest in owning or operating business aircraft.
Strong pricing for some makes and right pedigree
IADA members have also reported that aircraft prices and valuations have come off their 2022 peaks, but they still see reasonably strong pricing for preferred makes and models with the right pedigree. Members are also seeing good activity in the long-range heavy jet sector, but have experienced longer times to close with a slight reduction in the number of transactions.
There are concerns within the community over the collapse of a few of the charter / fractional providers, but the overall market outlook for preowned business aircraft continues to be broadly favorable for the foreseeable future.
To download the report go to https://aircraftexchange.com/market-report
BlueSky Business Aviation News | 20th July 2023 | Issue #709